Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.541453 0.599025 0.662126 0.736770 0.823110 0.920387 1.039050
2025-05-25 0.441198 0.518548 0.610647 0.729896 0.882461 1.074292 1.339008
2025-06-01 0.381483 0.466664 0.573909 0.721835 0.925531 1.204058 1.628630
2025-06-08 0.339504 0.427926 0.544065 0.712353 0.958205 1.318718 1.918102
2025-06-15 0.318177 0.412079 0.540299 0.734897 1.035880 1.509094 2.370179
2025-06-22 0.288663 0.381182 0.511104 0.715124 1.044540 1.591214 2.661045
2025-06-29 0.268541 0.361113 0.494594 0.711165 1.075860 1.714773 3.063222
2025-07-06 0.245010 0.333849 0.464451 0.681550 1.058912 1.748217 3.293192
2025-07-13 0.236722 0.328166 0.466062 0.702812 1.132406 1.963933 3.995692
2025-07-20 0.228930 0.322420 0.466754 0.722174 1.205081 2.194456 4.834752
2025-07-27 0.219682 0.313596 0.461538 0.730335 1.257364 2.394316 5.692074
2025-08-03 0.205884 0.296596 0.441467 0.709498 1.248535 2.454882 6.175177
2025-08-10 0.192353 0.279576 0.420759 0.686675 1.235167 2.509253 6.698232
2025-08-17 0.182028 0.267189 0.407108 0.675988 1.246792 2.631154 7.545042
2025-08-24 0.173151 0.256582 0.395655 0.668200 1.263504 2.771512 8.570904
2025-08-31 0.164949 0.246565 0.384434 0.659587 1.276909 2.907354 9.698072
2025-09-07 0.161741 0.244712 0.387504 0.679908 1.361626 3.275873 12.288084
2025-09-14 0.153380 0.233541 0.372857 0.662079 1.350495 3.349926 13.451964
2025-09-21 0.147603 0.226516 0.365340 0.658507 1.374796 3.547300 15.607016
2025-09-28 0.139227 0.214520 0.347805 0.631769 1.335075 3.517607 16.272233
2025-10-05 0.137282 0.213717 0.351221 0.650969 1.420427 3.959399 21.097044
2025-10-12 0.135186 0.212507 0.353740 0.668437 1.504837 4.439062 27.539849
2025-10-19 0.132028 0.209198 0.351927 0.675795 1.562109 4.840315 34.589375